L’École des cotes

Karolina Pliskova v Jaqueline Cristian

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 17:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Prévision 45.13%2.22cote équitable
EV +23.21%
Avantage +8.50%
Kelly +13.42%
Croissance +3.11%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.69%45.73%45.41%55.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.691.961.972.7359.17%50.95%50.76%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaqueline Cristian (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.87%1.82cote équitable
EV +16.32%
Avantage +7.70%
Kelly +14.57%
Croissance +2.38%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.47%54.27%54.59%65.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.831.802.1268.97%54.68%55.56%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV +23.21%E +8.50%K +13.42%G +3.11%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -20.44%E -14.10%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:34
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +6.06%E +2.58%K +4.49%G +0.272%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -12.76%E -8.03%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 17:35
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:34
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 17:35
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -0.708%E -0.322%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.86%E -8.83%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 17:32
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -0.708%E -0.322%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.41%E -9.24%K -25.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 17:34
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:34
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:34
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 17:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:33
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:34
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:35
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:35
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.02%E -6.11%K -15.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -11.54%E -5.89%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -12.44%E -6.41%K -13.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -13.35%E -6.95%K -14.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.80%E -7.22%K -15.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.80%E +2.51%K +5.27%G +0.253%4.7%2026-05-08 17:35
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -14.70%E -7.78%K -16.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV +4.80%E +2.51%K +5.27%G +0.253%5.3%2026-05-08 17:35
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -15.60%E -8.34%K -17.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV +3.15%E +1.68%K +3.58%G +0.113%6.7%2026-05-08 17:35
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -17.41%E -9.51%K -20.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +13.58%E +6.56%K +12.69%G +1.72%3.0%2026-05-08 17:29
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -18.76%E -10.42%K -23.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -0.690%E -0.381%K -0.852%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 17:35
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%3.8%2026-05-08 17:27
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98%4.0%2026-05-08 17:19
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98%4.0%2026-05-08 17:19
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +9.73%E +4.87%K +9.73%G +0.948%6.2%2026-05-08 17:27
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -20.12%E -11.36%K -26.12%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV +11.38%E +5.61%K +11.05%G +1.26%5.8%2026-05-08 17:24
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -21.02%E -12.01%K -28.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +6.99%E +3.59%K +7.36%G +0.515%8.4%2026-05-08 17:25
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +16.32%E +7.70%K +14.57%G +2.38%4.6%2026-05-08 17:26
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.1%2026-05-08 17:19
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98%5.3%2026-05-08 17:29
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48%6.3%2026-05-08 17:19
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -21.92%E -12.67%K -30.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.4%2026-05-08 17:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -21.92%E -12.67%K -30.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.4%2026-05-08 17:17
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -22.37%E -13.01%K -31.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.8%2026-05-08 17:19
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -22.82%E -13.35%K -32.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV +13.58%E +6.56%K +12.69%G +1.72%6.8%2026-05-08 17:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -23.27%E -13.69%K -33.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48%7.6%2026-05-08 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -23.27%E -13.69%K -33.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48%7.6%2026-05-08 17:19
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -23.73%E -14.04%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV +15.77%E +7.47%K +14.21%G +2.24%6.6%2026-05-08 17:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-08 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-05-08 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-05-08 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-05-08 17:35
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-05-08 17:35
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 45.38%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%9.6%2026-05-08 17:34