A Escola das Odds

Karolina Pliskova v Jaqueline Cristian

Início: 2026-05-08 17:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Previsão 45.13%2.22odd justa
EV +23.21%
Vantagem +8.50%
Kelly +13.42%
Crescimento +3.11%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.69%45.73%45.41%55.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.691.961.972.7359.17%50.95%50.76%36.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante)

Previsão 54.87%1.82odd justa
EV +16.32%
Vantagem +7.70%
Kelly +14.57%
Crescimento +2.38%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.47%54.27%54.59%65.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.831.802.1268.97%54.68%55.56%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV +23.21%E +8.50%K +13.42%G +3.11%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -20.44%E -14.10%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:34
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +6.06%E +2.58%K +4.49%G +0.272%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -12.76%E -8.03%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 17:35
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:34
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 17:35
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -0.708%E -0.322%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.86%E -8.83%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 17:32
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -0.708%E -0.322%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.41%E -9.24%K -25.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 17:34
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:34
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:34
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 17:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:33
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:34
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:35
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:35
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.02%E -6.11%K -15.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -11.54%E -5.89%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -12.44%E -6.41%K -13.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -13.35%E -6.95%K -14.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.80%E -7.22%K -15.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.80%E +2.51%K +5.27%G +0.253%4.7%2026-05-08 17:35
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -14.70%E -7.78%K -16.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV +4.80%E +2.51%K +5.27%G +0.253%5.3%2026-05-08 17:35
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -15.60%E -8.34%K -17.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV +3.15%E +1.68%K +3.58%G +0.113%6.7%2026-05-08 17:35
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -17.41%E -9.51%K -20.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +13.58%E +6.56%K +12.69%G +1.72%3.0%2026-05-08 17:29
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -18.76%E -10.42%K -23.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -0.690%E -0.381%K -0.852%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 17:35
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%3.8%2026-05-08 17:27
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98%4.0%2026-05-08 17:19
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98%4.0%2026-05-08 17:19
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +9.73%E +4.87%K +9.73%G +0.948%6.2%2026-05-08 17:27
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -20.12%E -11.36%K -26.12%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV +11.38%E +5.61%K +11.05%G +1.26%5.8%2026-05-08 17:24
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -21.02%E -12.01%K -28.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +6.99%E +3.59%K +7.36%G +0.515%8.4%2026-05-08 17:25
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +16.32%E +7.70%K +14.57%G +2.38%4.6%2026-05-08 17:26
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.1%2026-05-08 17:19
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98%5.3%2026-05-08 17:29
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48%6.3%2026-05-08 17:19
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -21.92%E -12.67%K -30.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.4%2026-05-08 17:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -21.92%E -12.67%K -30.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.4%2026-05-08 17:17
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -22.37%E -13.01%K -31.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.8%2026-05-08 17:19
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -22.82%E -13.35%K -32.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV +13.58%E +6.56%K +12.69%G +1.72%6.8%2026-05-08 17:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -23.27%E -13.69%K -33.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48%7.6%2026-05-08 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -23.27%E -13.69%K -33.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48%7.6%2026-05-08 17:19
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -23.73%E -14.04%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV +15.77%E +7.47%K +14.21%G +2.24%6.6%2026-05-08 17:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-08 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-05-08 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-05-08 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-05-08 17:35
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-05-08 17:35
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 45.38%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%9.6%2026-05-08 17:34