مدرسة الاحتمالات

Karolina Pliskova v Jaqueline Cristian

البداية: 2026-05-08 17:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Karolina Pliskova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.13%2.22السعر العادل
EV +23.21%
الأفضلية +8.50%
Kelly +13.42%
النمو +3.11%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.69%45.73%45.41%55.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.691.961.972.7359.17%50.95%50.76%36.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jaqueline Cristian (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.87%1.82السعر العادل
EV +16.32%
الأفضلية +7.70%
Kelly +14.57%
النمو +2.38%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.47%54.27%54.59%65.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.831.802.1268.97%54.68%55.56%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV +23.21%E +8.50%K +13.42%G +3.11%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -20.44%E -14.10%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:34
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +6.06%E +2.58%K +4.49%G +0.272%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -12.76%E -8.03%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 17:35
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:34
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 17:35
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -0.708%E -0.322%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.86%E -8.83%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 17:32
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -0.708%E -0.322%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.41%E -9.24%K -25.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 17:34
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:34
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:34
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 17:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:33
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:34
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:35
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:35
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.02%E -6.11%K -15.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:34
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -11.54%E -5.89%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -12.44%E -6.41%K -13.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -13.35%E -6.95%K -14.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.80%E -7.22%K -15.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.80%E +2.51%K +5.27%G +0.253%4.7%2026-05-08 17:35
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -14.70%E -7.78%K -16.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV +4.80%E +2.51%K +5.27%G +0.253%5.3%2026-05-08 17:35
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -15.60%E -8.34%K -17.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV +3.15%E +1.68%K +3.58%G +0.113%6.7%2026-05-08 17:35
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -17.41%E -9.51%K -20.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +13.58%E +6.56%K +12.69%G +1.72%3.0%2026-05-08 17:29
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -18.76%E -10.42%K -23.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -0.690%E -0.381%K -0.852%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 17:35
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%3.8%2026-05-08 17:27
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98%4.0%2026-05-08 17:19
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98%4.0%2026-05-08 17:19
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +9.73%E +4.87%K +9.73%G +0.948%6.2%2026-05-08 17:27
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -20.12%E -11.36%K -26.12%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV +11.38%E +5.61%K +11.05%G +1.26%5.8%2026-05-08 17:24
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -21.02%E -12.01%K -28.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +6.99%E +3.59%K +7.36%G +0.515%8.4%2026-05-08 17:25
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +16.32%E +7.70%K +14.57%G +2.38%4.6%2026-05-08 17:26
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.1%2026-05-08 17:19
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98%5.3%2026-05-08 17:29
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48%6.3%2026-05-08 17:19
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -21.92%E -12.67%K -30.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.4%2026-05-08 17:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -21.92%E -12.67%K -30.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.4%2026-05-08 17:17
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -22.37%E -13.01%K -31.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11%5.8%2026-05-08 17:19
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -22.82%E -13.35%K -32.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV +13.58%E +6.56%K +12.69%G +1.72%6.8%2026-05-08 17:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -23.27%E -13.69%K -33.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48%7.6%2026-05-08 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -23.27%E -13.69%K -33.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48%7.6%2026-05-08 17:19
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -23.73%E -14.04%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV +15.77%E +7.47%K +14.21%G +2.24%6.6%2026-05-08 17:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-08 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-05-08 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-05-08 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-05-08 17:35
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-05-08 17:35
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 45.38%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%9.6%2026-05-08 17:34