La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Karolina Pliskova v Jaqueline Cristian
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Predicción 45.13%2.22momio equitativo
EV +23.21%
Ventaja +8.50%
Kelly +13.42%
Crecimiento +3.11%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.69%45.73%45.41%55.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.691.961.972.7359.17%50.95%50.76%36.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante)
Predicción 54.87%1.82momio equitativo
EV +16.32%
Ventaja +7.70%
Kelly +14.57%
Crecimiento +2.38%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.47%54.27%54.59%65.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.831.802.1268.97%54.68%55.56%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV +23.21%E +8.50%K +13.42%G +3.11% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -20.44%E -14.10%K -45.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +6.06%E +2.58%K +4.49%G +0.272% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -12.76%E -8.03%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -0.708%E -0.322%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.86%E -8.83%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 17:32 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -0.708%E -0.322%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.41%E -9.24%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 17:33 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.02%E -6.11%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -11.54%E -5.89%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -12.44%E -6.41%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -13.35%E -6.95%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.80%E -7.22%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.80%E +2.51%K +5.27%G +0.253% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -14.70%E -7.78%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV +4.80%E +2.51%K +5.27%G +0.253% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -15.60%E -8.34%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV +3.15%E +1.68%K +3.58%G +0.113% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -17.41%E -9.51%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +13.58%E +6.56%K +12.69%G +1.72% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 17:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -18.76%E -10.42%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -0.690%E -0.381%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 17:27 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +9.73%E +4.87%K +9.73%G +0.948% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 17:27 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -20.12%E -11.36%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV +11.38%E +5.61%K +11.05%G +1.26% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 17:24 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -21.02%E -12.01%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +6.99%E +3.59%K +7.36%G +0.515% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 17:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +16.32%E +7.70%K +14.57%G +2.38% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 17:26 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 17:29 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -21.92%E -12.67%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -21.92%E -12.67%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 17:17 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -22.37%E -13.01%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -22.82%E -13.35%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV +13.58%E +6.56%K +12.69%G +1.72% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -23.27%E -13.69%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -23.27%E -13.69%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -23.73%E -14.04%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV +15.77%E +7.47%K +14.21%G +2.24% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Novig | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.38% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |