Language:English
Karolina Pliskova v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Prediction 12.92%7.74fair odd
EV +49.84%
Edge +4.30%
Kelly +4.70%
Growth +2.34%
assuming max odds 11.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.37%12.85%12.77%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.757.377.5011.6017.39%13.56%13.33%8.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 87.08%1.15fair odd
EV -0.726%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.58%87.15%87.23%91.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.081.081.1496.15%92.46%92.59%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 12.92%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 87.08%. For Karolina Pliskova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.74. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +49.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +49.84%E +4.30%K +4.70%G +2.34% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +29.17%E +2.92%K +3.24%G +0.946% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.25%E +1.81%K +2.03%G +0.330% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV +13.02%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.219% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +9.80%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.128% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +9.80%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.128% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.86I 12.72%NM 12.47%EV +1.53%E +0.194%K +0.223%G +0.003% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.53%EV -2.47%E -2.20%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.85I 12.74%NM 11.70%EV +1.40%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.30%EV -9.43%E -9.07%K -235.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:03 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -6.35%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 18:52 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -9.43%E -9.07%K -235.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 18:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -14.75%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -15.52%E -2.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -2.47%E -2.20%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 18:52 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -17.33%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -19.27%E -3.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 19:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.50%E -3.75%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -23.01%E -3.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -0.726%E -0.636%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 18:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -23.01%E -3.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -0.726%E -0.636%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 18:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -24.43%E -4.18%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.60%E -1.41%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -25.08%E -4.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -25.08%E -4.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -25.73%E -4.47%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.60%E -1.41%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86% | 0.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Novig◎ | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.57% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.43% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 19:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 19:02 |