La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Karolina Pliskova v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Predicción 12.92%7.74momio equitativo
EV +49.84%
Ventaja +4.30%
Kelly +4.70%
Crecimiento +2.34%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.37%12.85%12.77%16.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.757.377.5011.6017.39%13.56%13.33%8.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 87.08%1.15momio equitativo
EV -0.726%
Ventaja -0.636%
Kelly -5.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.58%87.15%87.23%91.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.081.081.1496.15%92.46%92.59%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +49.84%E +4.30%K +4.70%G +2.34% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betway | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +29.17%E +2.92%K +3.24%G +0.946% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Coral | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.25%E +1.81%K +2.03%G +0.330% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betsson | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV +13.02%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.219% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +9.80%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.128% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +9.80%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.128% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Casumo | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Unibet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| betPARX | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| TAB | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Pinnacle | 7.86I 12.72%NM 12.47%EV +1.53%E +0.194%K +0.223%G +0.003% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.53%EV -2.47%E -2.20%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Fliff | 7.85I 12.74%NM 11.70%EV +1.40%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.30%EV -9.43%E -9.07%K -235.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Coolbet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| William Hill | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Grosvenor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Caesars | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:03 |
| Bally Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Fanatics | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| 888sport | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -6.35%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| TABtouch | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| theScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 18:52 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -9.43%E -9.07%K -235.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Bet Right | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 18:53 |
| NordicBet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| ReBet | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -14.75%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| 1xBet | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -15.52%E -2.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -2.47%E -2.20%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 18:52 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -17.33%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -19.27%E -3.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 19:01 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.50%E -3.75%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -23.01%E -3.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -0.726%E -0.636%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 18:58 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -23.01%E -3.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -0.726%E -0.636%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 18:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -24.43%E -4.18%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.60%E -1.41%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -25.08%E -4.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| Neds | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -25.08%E -4.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| PlayUp | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -25.73%E -4.47%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.60%E -1.41%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86% | 0.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Matchbook | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Novig | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.57% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.43% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 19:01 |
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 19:02 |