L’École des cotes

Karolina Pliskova v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 19:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Prévision 12.92%7.74cote équitable
EV +49.84%
Avantage +4.30%
Kelly +4.70%
Croissance +2.34%

avec la cote maximale 11.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.37%12.85%12.77%16.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.757.377.5011.6017.39%13.56%13.33%8.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 87.08%1.15cote équitable
EV -0.726%
Avantage -0.636%
Kelly -5.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.58%87.15%87.23%91.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.041.081.081.1496.15%92.46%92.59%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +49.84%E +4.30%K +4.70%G +2.34%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 19:04
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +29.17%E +2.92%K +3.24%G +0.946%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 19:05
Coral9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.25%E +1.81%K +2.03%G +0.330%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 19:04
Betsson8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV +13.02%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.219%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +9.80%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.128%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 19:04
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +9.80%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.128%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 19:05
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:04
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:04
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:04
Pinnacle7.86I 12.72%NM 12.47%EV +1.53%E +0.194%K +0.223%G +0.003%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.53%EV -2.47%E -2.20%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-11 19:04
Fliff7.85I 12.74%NM 11.70%EV +1.40%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.30%EV -9.43%E -9.07%K -235.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 19:05
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:04
Hard Rock Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:04
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 18:50
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:04
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Caesars7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:03
Bally Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:04
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:05
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:05
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:04
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 19:05
BetMGM7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -6.35%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 19:04
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 19:04
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 19:04
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 19:04
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 19:04
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:52
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:05
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -9.43%E -9.07%K -235.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 19:04
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 18:53
NordicBet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 19:04
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-11 19:04
ReBet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -14.75%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 18:54
1xBet6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -15.52%E -2.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -2.47%E -2.20%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 18:52
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 19:04
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:53
Unibet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:54
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -17.33%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:54
Betclic (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -19.27%E -3.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 19:01
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.50%E -3.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:55
LowVig.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -23.01%E -3.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -0.726%E -0.636%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 18:58
BetOnline.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -23.01%E -3.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -0.726%E -0.636%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 18:58
Marathon Bet5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -24.43%E -4.18%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.60%E -1.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -25.08%E -4.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:54
Neds5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -25.08%E -4.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:54
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -25.73%E -4.47%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.60%E -1.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 18:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%0.1%2026-05-11 19:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-05-11 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-05-11 19:04
Matchbook10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-11 19:04
Novig7.58I 13.19%NM 12.57%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.43%4.9%2026-05-11 19:01
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%7.4%2026-05-11 19:02