语言:简体中文
Karolina Pliskova v Elena Rybakina
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Karolina Pliskova (主队)
预测 12.92%7.74公平赔率
EV +49.84%
优势 +4.30%
Kelly +4.70%
增长率 +2.34%
假设最高赔率为 11.60
博彩公司预测分布
8.37%12.85%12.77%16.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.757.377.5011.6017.39%13.56%13.33%8.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
Elena Rybakina (客队)
预测 87.08%1.15公平赔率
EV -0.726%
优势 -0.636%
Kelly -5.18%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.14
博彩公司预测分布
83.58%87.15%87.23%91.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.041.081.081.1496.15%92.46%92.59%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Karolina Pliskova (主队)：12.92%；Elena Rybakina (客队)：87.08%。 对于“Karolina Pliskova (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.74。 当时有18家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.60，对应+49.84%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +49.84%E +4.30%K +4.70%G +2.34% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +29.17%E +2.92%K +3.24%G +0.946% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.25%E +1.81%K +2.03%G +0.330% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV +13.02%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.219% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +9.80%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.128% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +9.80%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.128% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.86I 12.72%NM 12.47%EV +1.53%E +0.194%K +0.223%G +0.003% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.53%EV -2.47%E -2.20%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.85I 12.74%NM 11.70%EV +1.40%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.30%EV -9.43%E -9.07%K -235.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:03 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -6.35%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 18:52 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -9.43%E -9.07%K -235.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 18:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -14.75%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -15.52%E -2.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -2.47%E -2.20%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 18:52 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -17.33%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -19.27%E -3.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 19:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.50%E -3.75%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -23.01%E -3.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -0.726%E -0.636%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 18:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -23.01%E -3.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -0.726%E -0.636%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 18:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -24.43%E -4.18%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.60%E -1.41%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -25.08%E -4.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -25.08%E -4.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -25.73%E -4.47%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.60%E -1.41%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 18:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86% | 0.1% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-11 19:04 |
| Novig◎ | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.57% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.43% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 19:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 19:02 |