A Escola das Odds

Karolina Pliskova v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-05-11 19:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Previsão 12.92%7.74odd justa
EV +49.84%
Vantagem +4.30%
Kelly +4.70%
Crescimento +2.34%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.37%12.85%12.77%16.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.757.377.5011.6017.39%13.56%13.33%8.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 87.08%1.15odd justa
EV -0.726%
Vantagem -0.636%
Kelly -5.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.58%87.15%87.23%91.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.041.081.081.1496.15%92.46%92.59%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +49.84%E +4.30%K +4.70%G +2.34%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 19:04
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +29.17%E +2.92%K +3.24%G +0.946%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 19:05
Coral9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.25%E +1.81%K +2.03%G +0.330%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 19:04
Betsson8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV +13.02%E +1.49%K +1.68%G +0.219%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +9.80%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.128%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 19:04
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +9.80%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.128%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 19:05
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:04
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:05
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:04
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.34%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:04
Pinnacle7.86I 12.72%NM 12.47%EV +1.53%E +0.194%K +0.223%G +0.003%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.53%EV -2.47%E -2.20%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-11 19:04
Fliff7.85I 12.74%NM 11.70%EV +1.40%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.30%EV -9.43%E -9.07%K -235.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 19:05
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:04
Hard Rock Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 19:04
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 18:50
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:04
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Caesars7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:03
Bally Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 19:05
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:04
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:05
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:05
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:04
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.12%E -0.416%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.56%E -8.16%K -171.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 19:05
BetMGM7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -6.35%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 19:04
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 19:04
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 19:04
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 19:04
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 19:04
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:52
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 19:05
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -9.58%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -9.43%E -9.07%K -235.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 19:04
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 18:53
NordicBet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 19:04
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -12.81%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-11 19:04
ReBet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -14.75%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 18:54
1xBet6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -15.52%E -2.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -2.47%E -2.20%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 18:52
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 19:04
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:53
Unibet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.04%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:54
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -17.33%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:54
Betclic (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -19.27%E -3.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 19:01
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.50%E -3.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:55
LowVig.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -23.01%E -3.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -0.726%E -0.636%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 18:58
BetOnline.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -23.01%E -3.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -0.726%E -0.636%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 18:58
Marathon Bet5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -24.43%E -4.18%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.60%E -1.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -25.08%E -4.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:54
Neds5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -25.08%E -4.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:54
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -25.73%E -4.47%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.60%E -1.41%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 18:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%0.1%2026-05-11 19:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-05-11 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-05-11 19:04
Matchbook10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-11 19:04
Novig7.58I 13.19%NM 12.57%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.43%4.9%2026-05-11 19:01
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%7.4%2026-05-11 19:02