A Escola das Odds

Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-05-13 11:18 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 23.47%4.26odd justa
EV +26.74%
Vantagem +4.95%
Kelly +6.08%
Crescimento +1.62%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.81%24.10%23.37%32.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.773.805.4035.09%26.56%26.32%18.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 76.53%1.31odd justa
EV +9.44%
Vantagem +6.60%
Kelly +21.95%
Crescimento +2.07%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.36%75.90%76.63%82.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.271.241.4388.50%78.78%80.65%69.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -29.12%E -9.64%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV +9.44%E +6.60%K +21.95%G +2.07%3.0%2026-05-13 10:59
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -31.23%E -10.66%K -16.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV +8.67%E +6.11%K +20.65%G +1.79%4.6%2026-05-13 11:11
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -31.23%E -10.66%K -16.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV +8.67%E +6.11%K +20.65%G +1.79%4.6%2026-05-13 11:10
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28%4.8%2026-05-13 11:04
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28%4.8%2026-05-13 11:04
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -31.94%E -11.01%K -16.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28%5.9%2026-05-13 11:09
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -23.49%E -7.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV +6.38%E +4.59%K +16.35%G +1.04%2.6%2026-05-13 11:11
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +6.38%E +4.59%K +16.35%G +1.04%5.3%2026-05-13 10:59
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%4.7%2026-05-13 11:05
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -28.42%E -9.32%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%5.3%2026-05-13 10:59
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.11%E -11.62%K -17.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%7.6%2026-05-13 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.11%E -11.62%K -17.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%7.6%2026-05-13 11:05
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV +4.85%E +3.54%K +13.10%G +0.635%5.3%2026-05-13 11:06
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +4.85%E +3.54%K +13.10%G +0.635%6.3%2026-05-13 11:05
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -26.77%E -8.58%K -12.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%5.6%2026-05-13 10:59
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%5.8%2026-05-13 11:05
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -30.29%E -10.20%K -15.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%7.2%2026-05-13 11:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -31.94%E -11.01%K -16.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%8.0%2026-05-13 10:59
SportsBet3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -23.25%E -7.11%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV +2.55%E +1.90%K +7.50%G +0.191%5.2%2026-05-13 11:09
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -0.511%E -0.393%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 11:15
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 11:15
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -14.34%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 11:16
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.20%E -5.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 11:14
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.57%E -2.83%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:16
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:14
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 11:15
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 11:15
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 11:15
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:16
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.61%E +1.25%K +1.60%G +0.090%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 11:15
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.61%E +1.25%K +1.60%G +0.090%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 11:16
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.254%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 11:16
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.254%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 11:15
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 11:15
NordicBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +2.09%E +0.481%K +0.625%G +0.013%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:15
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 11:16
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 11:16
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 11:15
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.51%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 11:15
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -8.93%E -7.50%K -46.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 11:16
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -8.93%E -7.50%K -46.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +11.48%E +2.42%K +3.06%G +0.352%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -9.69%E -8.22%K -53.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 11:15
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.69%E -8.22%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 11:15
DraftKings5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +26.74%E +4.95%K +6.08%G +1.62%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -10.46%E -8.94%K -61.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 11:16
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +17.35%E +3.47%K +4.34%G +0.752%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:16
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +9.13%E +1.96%K +2.50%G +0.229%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 11:16
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -13.52%E -11.97%K -104.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-13 11:16
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-05-13 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-13 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-13 11:16
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-05-13 11:15
Novig4.31I 23.20%NM 21.64%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.36%7.2%2026-05-13 11:15