La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Predicción 23.47%4.26momio equitativo
EV +26.74%
Ventaja +4.95%
Kelly +6.08%
Crecimiento +1.62%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.81%24.10%23.37%32.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.773.805.4035.09%26.56%26.32%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 76.53%1.31momio equitativo
EV +9.44%
Ventaja +6.60%
Kelly +21.95%
Crecimiento +2.07%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.36%75.90%76.63%82.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.271.241.4388.50%78.78%80.65%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -29.12%E -9.64%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV +9.44%E +6.60%K +21.95%G +2.07% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -31.23%E -10.66%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV +8.67%E +6.11%K +20.65%G +1.79% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 11:11 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -31.23%E -10.66%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV +8.67%E +6.11%K +20.65%G +1.79% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 11:10 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 11:04 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 11:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -31.94%E -11.01%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 11:09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -23.49%E -7.21%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV +6.38%E +4.59%K +16.35%G +1.04% | 2.6% | 2026-05-13 11:11 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +6.38%E +4.59%K +16.35%G +1.04% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 10:59 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 11:05 |
| ReBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -28.42%E -9.32%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 10:59 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.11%E -11.62%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.11%E -11.62%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 11:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV +4.85%E +3.54%K +13.10%G +0.635% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 11:06 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +4.85%E +3.54%K +13.10%G +0.635% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -26.77%E -8.58%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 10:59 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 11:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -30.29%E -10.20%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 11:00 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -31.94%E -11.01%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 10:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -23.25%E -7.11%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV +2.55%E +1.90%K +7.50%G +0.191% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 11:09 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -0.511%E -0.393%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -14.34%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.20%E -5.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 11:14 |
| Coolbet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.57%E -2.83%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 11:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Fliff | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.61%E +1.25%K +1.60%G +0.090% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.61%E +1.25%K +1.60%G +0.090% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Casumo | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| betPARX | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.254%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.254%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Betsson | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| NordicBet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +2.09%E +0.481%K +0.625%G +0.013% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Bally Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.51%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -8.93%E -7.50%K -46.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -8.93%E -7.50%K -46.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +11.48%E +2.42%K +3.06%G +0.352% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -9.69%E -8.22%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.69%E -8.22%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| DraftKings | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +26.74%E +4.95%K +6.08%G +1.62% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -10.46%E -8.94%K -61.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +17.35%E +3.47%K +4.34%G +0.752% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Fanatics | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +9.13%E +1.96%K +2.50%G +0.229% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -13.52%E -11.97%K -104.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Novig | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.64% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.36% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |