مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek

البداية: 2026-05-13 11:18 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jessica Pegula (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.47%4.26السعر العادل
EV +26.74%
الأفضلية +4.95%
Kelly +6.08%
النمو +1.62%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.81%24.10%23.37%32.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.773.805.4035.09%26.56%26.32%18.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Iga Swiatek (الضيف)

التنبؤ 76.53%1.31السعر العادل
EV +9.44%
الأفضلية +6.60%
Kelly +21.95%
النمو +2.07%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.36%75.90%76.63%82.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.131.271.241.4388.50%78.78%80.65%69.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -29.12%E -9.64%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV +9.44%E +6.60%K +21.95%G +2.07%3.0%2026-05-13 10:59
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -31.23%E -10.66%K -16.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV +8.67%E +6.11%K +20.65%G +1.79%4.6%2026-05-13 11:11
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -31.23%E -10.66%K -16.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV +8.67%E +6.11%K +20.65%G +1.79%4.6%2026-05-13 11:10
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28%4.8%2026-05-13 11:04
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28%4.8%2026-05-13 11:04
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -31.94%E -11.01%K -16.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28%5.9%2026-05-13 11:09
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -23.49%E -7.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV +6.38%E +4.59%K +16.35%G +1.04%2.6%2026-05-13 11:11
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +6.38%E +4.59%K +16.35%G +1.04%5.3%2026-05-13 10:59
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%4.7%2026-05-13 11:05
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -28.42%E -9.32%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%5.3%2026-05-13 10:59
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.11%E -11.62%K -17.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%7.6%2026-05-13 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.11%E -11.62%K -17.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%7.6%2026-05-13 11:05
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV +4.85%E +3.54%K +13.10%G +0.635%5.3%2026-05-13 11:06
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +4.85%E +3.54%K +13.10%G +0.635%6.3%2026-05-13 11:05
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -26.77%E -8.58%K -12.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%5.6%2026-05-13 10:59
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%5.8%2026-05-13 11:05
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -30.29%E -10.20%K -15.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%7.2%2026-05-13 11:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -31.94%E -11.01%K -16.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%8.0%2026-05-13 10:59
SportsBet3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -23.25%E -7.11%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV +2.55%E +1.90%K +7.50%G +0.191%5.2%2026-05-13 11:09
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -0.511%E -0.393%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 11:15
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 11:15
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -14.34%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 11:16
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.20%E -5.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 11:14
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.57%E -2.83%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:16
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:14
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 11:15
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 11:15
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 11:15
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:16
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.61%E +1.25%K +1.60%G +0.090%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 11:15
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.61%E +1.25%K +1.60%G +0.090%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 11:16
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.254%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 11:16
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.254%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 11:15
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 11:15
NordicBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +2.09%E +0.481%K +0.625%G +0.013%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:15
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 11:16
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 11:16
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 11:15
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.51%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 11:15
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -8.93%E -7.50%K -46.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 11:16
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -8.93%E -7.50%K -46.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +11.48%E +2.42%K +3.06%G +0.352%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -9.69%E -8.22%K -53.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 11:15
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.69%E -8.22%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 11:15
DraftKings5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +26.74%E +4.95%K +6.08%G +1.62%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -10.46%E -8.94%K -61.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 11:16
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +17.35%E +3.47%K +4.34%G +0.752%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:16
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +9.13%E +1.96%K +2.50%G +0.229%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 11:16
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -13.52%E -11.97%K -104.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-13 11:16
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-05-13 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-13 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-13 11:16
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-05-13 11:15
Novig4.31I 23.20%NM 21.64%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.36%7.2%2026-05-13 11:15