StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-13 11:18 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jessica Pegula (Heim)

Prognose 23.47%4.26faire Quote
EV +26.74%
Vorteil +4.95%
Kelly +6.08%
Wachstum +1.62%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.81%24.10%23.37%32.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.853.773.805.4035.09%26.56%26.32%18.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Auswärts)

Prognose 76.53%1.31faire Quote
EV +9.44%
Vorteil +6.60%
Kelly +21.95%
Wachstum +2.07%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.36%75.90%76.63%82.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.131.271.241.4388.50%78.78%80.65%69.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jessica Pegula (Heim): 23.47%; Iga Swiatek (Auswärts): 76.53%. Für Jessica Pegula (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.26. 13 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.40 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +26.74%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -29.12%E -9.64%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV +9.44%E +6.60%K +21.95%G +2.07%3.0%2026-05-13 10:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -31.23%E -10.66%K -16.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV +8.67%E +6.11%K +20.65%G +1.79%4.6%2026-05-13 11:11
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -31.23%E -10.66%K -16.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV +8.67%E +6.11%K +20.65%G +1.79%4.6%2026-05-13 11:10
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28%4.8%2026-05-13 11:04
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28%4.8%2026-05-13 11:04
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -31.94%E -11.01%K -16.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28%5.9%2026-05-13 11:09
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -23.49%E -7.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV +6.38%E +4.59%K +16.35%G +1.04%2.6%2026-05-13 11:11
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +6.38%E +4.59%K +16.35%G +1.04%5.3%2026-05-13 10:59
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%4.7%2026-05-13 11:05
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -28.42%E -9.32%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%5.3%2026-05-13 10:59
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.11%E -11.62%K -17.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%7.6%2026-05-13 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.11%E -11.62%K -17.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829%7.6%2026-05-13 11:05
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV +4.85%E +3.54%K +13.10%G +0.635%5.3%2026-05-13 11:06
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +4.85%E +3.54%K +13.10%G +0.635%6.3%2026-05-13 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -26.77%E -8.58%K -12.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%5.6%2026-05-13 10:59
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%5.8%2026-05-13 11:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -30.29%E -10.20%K -15.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%7.2%2026-05-13 11:00
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -31.94%E -11.01%K -16.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463%8.0%2026-05-13 10:59
SportsBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -23.25%E -7.11%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV +2.55%E +1.90%K +7.50%G +0.191%5.2%2026-05-13 11:09
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -0.511%E -0.393%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 11:15
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 11:15
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -14.34%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 11:16
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.20%E -5.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 11:14
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.57%E -2.83%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:16
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 11:15
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.61%E +1.25%K +1.60%G +0.090%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 11:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.61%E +1.25%K +1.60%G +0.090%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 11:16
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 11:16
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.254%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 11:16
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.254%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 11:15
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 11:15
NordicBet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +2.09%E +0.481%K +0.625%G +0.013%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 11:16
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 11:16
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.51%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 11:15
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -8.93%E -7.50%K -46.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 11:16
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -8.93%E -7.50%K -46.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 11:15
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +11.48%E +2.42%K +3.06%G +0.352%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -9.69%E -8.22%K -53.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.69%E -8.22%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 11:15
DraftKings🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +26.74%E +4.95%K +6.08%G +1.62%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -10.46%E -8.94%K -61.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 11:16
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +17.35%E +3.47%K +4.34%G +0.752%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 11:16
Fanatics🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +9.13%E +1.96%K +2.50%G +0.229%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 11:16
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -13.52%E -11.97%K -104.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-13 11:16
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-05-13 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-13 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-13 11:16
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-05-13 11:15
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-05-13 11:15
Novig4.31I 23.20%NM 21.64%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.36%7.2%2026-05-13 11:15