La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jessica Pegula (Casa)
Previsione 23.47%4.26quota equa
EV +26.74%
Vantaggio +4.95%
Kelly +6.08%
Crescita +1.62%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.81%24.10%23.37%32.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.773.805.4035.09%26.56%26.32%18.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Iga Swiatek (Trasferta)
Previsione 76.53%1.31quota equa
EV +9.44%
Vantaggio +6.60%
Kelly +21.95%
Crescita +2.07%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.36%75.90%76.63%82.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.271.241.4388.50%78.78%80.65%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -29.12%E -9.64%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV +9.44%E +6.60%K +21.95%G +2.07% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -31.23%E -10.66%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV +8.67%E +6.11%K +20.65%G +1.79% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 11:11 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -31.23%E -10.66%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV +8.67%E +6.11%K +20.65%G +1.79% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 11:10 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 11:04 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 11:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -31.94%E -11.01%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +7.14%E +5.10%K +17.86%G +1.28% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 11:09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -23.49%E -7.21%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV +6.38%E +4.59%K +16.35%G +1.04% | 2.6% | 2026-05-13 11:11 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +6.38%E +4.59%K +16.35%G +1.04% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 10:59 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 11:05 |
| ReBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -28.42%E -9.32%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 10:59 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.11%E -11.62%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.11%E -11.62%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.61%E +4.07%K +14.77%G +0.829% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 11:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV +4.85%E +3.54%K +13.10%G +0.635% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 11:06 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -29.59%E -9.86%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +4.85%E +3.54%K +13.10%G +0.635% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -26.77%E -8.58%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 10:59 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -27.24%E -8.79%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 11:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -30.29%E -10.20%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 11:00 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -31.94%E -11.01%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +4.08%E +3.00%K +11.34%G +0.463% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 10:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -23.25%E -7.11%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV +2.55%E +1.90%K +7.50%G +0.191% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 11:09 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -17.86%E -5.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -0.511%E -0.393%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -14.34%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.20%E -5.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.28%E -0.989%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 11:14 |
| Coolbet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.57%E -2.83%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 11:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Fliff | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.61%E +1.25%K +1.60%G +0.090% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.61%E +1.25%K +1.60%G +0.090% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Casumo | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| betPARX | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.254%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.254%E -0.060%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Betsson | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| NordicBet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +2.09%E +0.481%K +0.625%G +0.013% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Bally Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.51%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.43%E -0.340%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -8.93%E -7.50%K -46.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -8.93%E -7.50%K -46.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +11.48%E +2.42%K +3.06%G +0.352% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -9.69%E -8.22%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.69%E -8.22%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| DraftKings | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +26.74%E +4.95%K +6.08%G +1.62% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -10.46%E -8.94%K -61.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +17.35%E +3.47%K +4.34%G +0.752% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Fanatics | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV +9.13%E +1.96%K +2.50%G +0.229% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV +3.27%E +0.742%K +0.961%G +0.031% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -13.52%E -11.97%K -104.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 11:16 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Novig | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.64% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.36% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |