Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Anastasia Potapova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 63.58%1.57fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +3.88%
Growth +0.092%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%63.50%63.43%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.511.511.6173.53%66.32%66.23%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anastasia Potapova (Visit)
Prediction 36.42%2.75fair odd
EV +9.26%
Edge +3.09%
Kelly +4.63%
Growth +0.428%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%36.50%36.57%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.512.543.0045.45%39.79%39.37%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 63.58%; Anastasia Potapova (Visit): 36.42%. For Anastasia Potapova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.26%E +3.09%K +4.63%G +0.428% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -13.53%E -9.95%K -37.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +9.26%E +3.09%K +4.63%G +0.428% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -13.53%E -9.95%K -37.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +7.44%E +2.52%K +3.81%G +0.284% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.97%E +0.705%K +1.10%G +0.022% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.17%E -4.91%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +0.881%E +0.318%K +0.498%G +0.004% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.72%E -6.84%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 16:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.67%E -0.618%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.81%E -5.38%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.67%E -0.618%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.13%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 16:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 15:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.81%E -5.38%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.04%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -6.40%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -7.50%E -2.95%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 15:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.36%E -2.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 15:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.32%E -5.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.32%E -5.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -14.42%E -6.13%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +1.73%E +1.08%K +2.88%G +0.050% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +1.73%E +1.08%K +2.88%G +0.050% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -0.178%E -0.113%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -0.178%E -0.113%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -0.814%E -0.522%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -0.814%E -0.522%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -19.88%E -9.04%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -19.88%E -9.04%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |