La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jessica Pegula v Anastasia Potapova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Predicción 63.58%1.57momio equitativo
EV +2.37%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +3.88%
Crecimiento +0.092%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%63.50%63.43%68.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.511.511.6173.53%66.32%66.23%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anastasia Potapova (Visitante)
Predicción 36.42%2.75momio equitativo
EV +9.26%
Ventaja +3.09%
Kelly +4.63%
Crecimiento +0.428%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.19%36.50%36.57%41.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.512.543.0045.45%39.79%39.37%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.26%E +3.09%K +4.63%G +0.428% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -13.53%E -9.95%K -37.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +9.26%E +3.09%K +4.63%G +0.428% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -13.53%E -9.95%K -37.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +7.44%E +2.52%K +3.81%G +0.284% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.97%E +0.705%K +1.10%G +0.022% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.17%E -4.91%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +0.881%E +0.318%K +0.498%G +0.004% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.72%E -6.84%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 16:01 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 15:59 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.67%E -0.618%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.81%E -5.38%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.67%E -0.618%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| BetUS | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.13%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 16:03 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 15:56 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.81%E -5.38%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Fliff | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.04%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -6.40%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -7.50%E -2.95%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 15:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.36%E -2.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 15:54 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.32%E -5.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.32%E -5.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -14.42%E -6.13%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +1.73%E +1.08%K +2.88%G +0.050% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +1.73%E +1.08%K +2.88%G +0.050% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -0.178%E -0.113%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -0.178%E -0.113%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -0.814%E -0.522%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -0.814%E -0.522%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -19.88%E -9.04%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -19.88%E -9.04%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |
| Novig | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 16:04 |