مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jessica Pegula v Anastasia Potapova

البداية: 2026-05-11 16:17 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jessica Pegula (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.58%1.57السعر العادل
EV +2.37%
الأفضلية +1.47%
Kelly +3.88%
النمو +0.092%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.82%63.50%63.43%68.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.511.511.6173.53%66.32%66.23%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Anastasia Potapova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.42%2.75السعر العادل
EV +9.26%
الأفضلية +3.09%
Kelly +4.63%
النمو +0.428%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.19%36.50%36.57%41.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.512.543.0045.45%39.79%39.37%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.26%E +3.09%K +4.63%G +0.428%4.8%2026-05-11 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -13.53%E -9.95%K -37.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +9.26%E +3.09%K +4.63%G +0.428%6.9%2026-05-11 16:04
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -13.53%E -9.95%K -37.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +7.44%E +2.52%K +3.81%G +0.284%7.4%2026-05-11 16:04
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.97%E +0.705%K +1.10%G +0.022%7.1%2026-05-11 16:05
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.17%E -4.91%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +0.881%E +0.318%K +0.498%G +0.004%4.6%2026-05-11 15:54
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 16:04
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.72%E -6.84%K -23.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 16:04
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:04
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 16:01
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 15:59
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.67%E -0.618%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 16:04
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.81%E -5.38%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.67%E -0.618%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 16:04
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 16:05
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.13%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 16:03
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 15:55
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 15:56
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 16:04
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.81%E -5.38%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 16:04
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 16:05
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.04%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 15:59
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -6.40%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 16:04
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 15:55
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 16:04
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -7.50%E -2.95%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 16:05
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 15:58
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.36%E -2.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 16:05
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 15:55
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 16:05
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 16:05
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 15:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.32%E -5.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 16:05
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.32%E -5.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 16:05
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -14.42%E -6.13%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 16:04
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:05
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:04
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:05
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:04
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:04
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:04
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 16:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +1.73%E +1.08%K +2.88%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 16:04
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +1.73%E +1.08%K +2.88%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 16:05
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 16:04
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 16:04
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -0.178%E -0.113%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -0.178%E -0.113%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -0.814%E -0.522%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -0.814%E -0.522%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 16:05
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 16:05
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -19.88%E -9.04%K -16.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 16:04
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -19.88%E -9.04%K -16.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-11 16:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-05-11 16:04
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-05-11 16:04
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%4.9%2026-05-11 16:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-05-11 16:04
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%8.0%2026-05-11 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%8.2%2026-05-11 16:04