A Escola das Odds

Jessica Pegula v Anastasia Potapova

Início: 2026-05-11 16:17 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 63.58%1.57odd justa
EV +2.37%
Vantagem +1.47%
Kelly +3.88%
Crescimento +0.092%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.82%63.50%63.43%68.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.511.511.6173.53%66.32%66.23%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anastasia Potapova (Visitante)

Previsão 36.42%2.75odd justa
EV +9.26%
Vantagem +3.09%
Kelly +4.63%
Crescimento +0.428%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.19%36.50%36.57%41.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.512.543.0045.45%39.79%39.37%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.26%E +3.09%K +4.63%G +0.428%4.8%2026-05-11 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -13.53%E -9.95%K -37.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +9.26%E +3.09%K +4.63%G +0.428%6.9%2026-05-11 16:04
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -13.53%E -9.95%K -37.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +7.44%E +2.52%K +3.81%G +0.284%7.4%2026-05-11 16:04
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.97%E +0.705%K +1.10%G +0.022%7.1%2026-05-11 16:05
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.17%E -4.91%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +0.881%E +0.318%K +0.498%G +0.004%4.6%2026-05-11 15:54
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 16:04
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.72%E -6.84%K -23.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 16:04
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.152%E +0.055%K +0.087%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:04
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 16:01
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -1.30%E -0.481%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 15:59
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.67%E -0.618%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 16:04
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.81%E -5.38%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.67%E -0.618%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 16:04
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 16:05
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.13%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 16:03
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 15:55
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 15:56
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.58%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 16:04
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.81%E -5.38%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 16:04
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 16:05
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.04%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 15:59
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -6.40%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 16:04
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 15:55
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 16:04
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -3.99%E -2.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -7.50%E -2.95%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 16:05
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 15:58
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.36%E -2.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 16:05
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 15:55
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 16:05
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 16:05
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 15:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.32%E -5.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 16:05
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.32%E -5.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 16:05
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -14.42%E -6.13%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 16:04
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:05
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:04
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:05
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:04
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:04
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:04
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +2.37%E +1.47%K +3.88%G +0.092%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 16:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +1.73%E +1.08%K +2.88%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 16:04
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +1.73%E +1.08%K +2.88%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -16.24%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 16:05
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 16:04
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV +0.458%E +0.290%K +0.790%G +0.004%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 16:04
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -0.178%E -0.113%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -0.178%E -0.113%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -16.96%E -7.44%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:04
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -0.814%E -0.522%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -0.814%E -0.522%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 16:05
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 16:05
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -19.88%E -9.04%K -16.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 16:04
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -19.88%E -9.04%K -16.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-11 16:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-05-11 16:04
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-05-11 16:04
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%4.9%2026-05-11 16:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-05-11 16:04
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%8.0%2026-05-11 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%8.2%2026-05-11 16:04