Language:English
Jasmine Paolini v Leolia Jeanjean
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Prediction 85.13%1.17fair odd
EV +3.86%
Edge +3.16%
Kelly +17.53%
Growth +0.676%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%84.42%85.33%88.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.131.111.2294.34%88.29%90.09%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leolia Jeanjean (Visit)
Prediction 14.87%6.72fair odd
EV +29.24%
Edge +3.36%
Kelly +3.80%
Growth +1.11%
assuming max odds 8.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.33%15.58%14.67%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.005.806.008.6925.00%17.24%16.67%11.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 85.13%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visit): 14.87%. For Leolia Jeanjean (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.72. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.67%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 8.69I 11.51%NM 11.33%EV +29.24%E +3.36%K +3.80%G +1.11% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.98%E +2.37%K +2.71%G +0.515% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +11.54%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.205% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -9.76%E -9.21%K -162.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +11.54%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.205% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -9.76%E -9.21%K -162.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.71%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.29%EV -0.058%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.91%E -8.33%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.356%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -7.05%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -9.28%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 11:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.91%E -8.33%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.74%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -15.23%E -2.67%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.33%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.67%EV -17.46%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -21.18%E -4.00%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.10%E -1.83%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -21.92%E -4.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -31.59%E -6.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -2.10%E -1.83%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -31.59%E -6.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 11:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -32.48%E -7.15%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -32.93%E -7.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -32.93%E -7.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 11:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -33.07%E -7.35%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -33.07%E -7.35%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.98%EV +1.30%E +1.09%K +6.85%G +0.089% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.02%EV -33.52%E -7.50%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 10:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.55%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.45%EV -34.12%E -7.70%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 11:12 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 10:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -36.05%E -8.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +3.86%E +3.16%K +17.53%G +0.676% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 10:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +3.86%E +3.16%K +17.53%G +0.676% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.72%EV +1.30%E +1.09%K +6.85%G +0.089% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -38.28%E -9.22%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -40.51%E -10.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -40.51%E -10.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.1% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.42% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.58% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.74% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.26% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |