مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jasmine Paolini v Leolia Jeanjean

البداية: 2026-05-07 11:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jasmine Paolini (المضيف)

التنبؤ 85.13%1.17السعر العادل
EV +3.86%
الأفضلية +3.16%
Kelly +17.53%
النمو +0.676%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.92%84.42%85.33%88.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.061.131.111.2294.34%88.29%90.09%81.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Leolia Jeanjean (الضيف)

التنبؤ 14.87%6.72السعر العادل
EV +29.24%
الأفضلية +3.36%
Kelly +3.80%
النمو +1.11%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.33%15.58%14.67%23.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.005.806.008.6925.00%17.24%16.67%11.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 88.67%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%8.69I 11.51%NM 11.33%EV +29.24%E +3.36%K +3.80%G +1.11%1.6%2026-05-07 11:15
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.98%E +2.37%K +2.71%G +0.515%5.1%2026-05-07 11:15
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +11.54%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.205%5.1%2026-05-07 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -9.76%E -9.21%K -162.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +11.54%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.205%7.7%2026-05-07 11:15
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.0%2026-05-07 11:15
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.0%2026-05-07 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.0%2026-05-07 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.9%2026-05-07 11:15
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.9%2026-05-07 11:15
Casumo1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:15
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -9.76%E -9.21%K -162.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 11:15
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.71%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.29%EV -0.058%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 11:15
Fliff1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.91%E -8.33%K -127.33%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.356%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 11:15
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 11:15
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:15
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:15
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:15
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:15
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -7.05%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 11:15
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -9.28%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 11:15
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 11:13
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 11:15
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.91%E -8.33%K -127.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-07 11:15
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.74%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -15.23%E -2.67%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 11:15
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 83.33%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.67%EV -17.46%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 11:15
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:14
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:15
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:14
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -21.18%E -4.00%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 11:15
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.10%E -1.83%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -21.92%E -4.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 11:15
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -31.59%E -6.87%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:01
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -2.10%E -1.83%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -31.59%E -6.87%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 11:11
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -32.48%E -7.15%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 11:00
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -32.93%E -7.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -32.93%E -7.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 11:09
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -33.07%E -7.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:01
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -33.07%E -7.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 11:07
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 78.98%EV +1.30%E +1.09%K +6.85%G +0.089%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.02%EV -33.52%E -7.50%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:58
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 78.55%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.45%EV -34.12%E -7.70%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 11:12
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 10:59
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:00
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:10
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -36.05%E -8.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:00
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +3.86%E +3.16%K +17.53%G +0.676%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 10:58
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +3.86%E +3.16%K +17.53%G +0.676%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:07
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 10:59
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.72%EV +1.30%E +1.09%K +6.85%G +0.089%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -38.28%E -9.22%K -12.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -40.51%E -10.13%K -13.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 11:01
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -40.51%E -10.13%K -13.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 11:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-07 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-07 11:15
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.1%2026-05-07 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-05-07 11:15
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 88.42%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.58%2.8%2026-05-07 11:15
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 87.74%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.26%3.6%2026-05-07 11:15