La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jasmine Paolini v Leolia Jeanjean
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Predicción 85.13%1.17momio equitativo
EV +3.86%
Ventaja +3.16%
Kelly +17.53%
Crecimiento +0.676%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.92%84.42%85.33%88.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.131.111.2294.34%88.29%90.09%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante)
Predicción 14.87%6.72momio equitativo
EV +29.24%
Ventaja +3.36%
Kelly +3.80%
Crecimiento +1.11%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.33%15.58%14.67%23.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.005.806.008.6925.00%17.24%16.67%11.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.67%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 8.69I 11.51%NM 11.33%EV +29.24%E +3.36%K +3.80%G +1.11% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Betway | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.98%E +2.37%K +2.71%G +0.515% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +11.54%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.205% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -9.76%E -9.21%K -162.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +11.54%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.205% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Betsson | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Casumo | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| betPARX | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -9.76%E -9.21%K -162.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.71%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.29%EV -0.058%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Fliff | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.91%E -8.33%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.356%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -7.05%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -9.28%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 11:13 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.91%E -8.33%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.74%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -15.23%E -2.67%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.33%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.67%EV -17.46%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -21.18%E -4.00%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.10%E -1.83%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -21.92%E -4.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -31.59%E -6.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -2.10%E -1.83%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -31.59%E -6.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 11:11 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -32.48%E -7.15%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -32.93%E -7.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -32.93%E -7.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 11:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -33.07%E -7.35%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -33.07%E -7.35%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| GTbets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.98%EV +1.30%E +1.09%K +6.85%G +0.089% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.02%EV -33.52%E -7.50%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 10:58 |
| BetUS | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.55%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.45%EV -34.12%E -7.70%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 11:12 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 10:59 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:10 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -36.05%E -8.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +3.86%E +3.16%K +17.53%G +0.676% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 10:58 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +3.86%E +3.16%K +17.53%G +0.676% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.72%EV +1.30%E +1.09%K +6.85%G +0.089% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -38.28%E -9.22%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -40.51%E -10.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:01 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -40.51%E -10.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 11:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.1% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.42% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.58% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |
| Novig | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.74% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.26% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 11:15 |