StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jasmine Paolini v Leolia Jeanjean

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-07 11:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jasmine Paolini (Heim)

Prognose 85.13%1.17faire Quote
EV +3.86%
Vorteil +3.16%
Kelly +17.53%
Wachstum +0.676%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.22

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
76.92%84.42%85.33%88.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.061.131.111.2294.34%88.29%90.09%81.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Leolia Jeanjean (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.87%6.72faire Quote
EV +29.24%
Vorteil +3.36%
Kelly +3.80%
Wachstum +1.11%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.33%15.58%14.67%23.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.005.806.008.6925.00%17.24%16.67%11.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jasmine Paolini (Heim): 85.13%; Leolia Jeanjean (Auswärts): 14.87%. Für Leolia Jeanjean (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.72. 18 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.69 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +29.24%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 88.67%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%8.69I 11.51%NM 11.33%EV +29.24%E +3.36%K +3.80%G +1.11%1.6%2026-05-07 11:15
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.98%E +2.37%K +2.71%G +0.515%5.1%2026-05-07 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +11.54%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.205%5.1%2026-05-07 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -9.76%E -9.21%K -162.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +11.54%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.205%7.7%2026-05-07 11:15
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.0%2026-05-07 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.0%2026-05-07 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.0%2026-05-07 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.9%2026-05-07 11:15
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.11%E +0.587%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.9%2026-05-07 11:15
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -8.06%E -7.46%K -100.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -9.76%E -9.21%K -162.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV +0.388%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.71%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.29%EV -0.058%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 11:15
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.91%E -8.33%K -127.33%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.356%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 11:15
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:15
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:15
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.21%E -6.62%K -80.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -7.05%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 11:15
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -9.28%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:15
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 11:15
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 11:13
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.91%E -8.33%K -127.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-07 11:15
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.74%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -15.23%E -2.67%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 11:15
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.33%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.67%EV -17.46%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 11:15
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:14
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.20%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -21.18%E -4.00%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 11:15
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.10%E -1.83%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -21.92%E -4.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 11:15
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -31.59%E -6.87%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -2.10%E -1.83%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -31.59%E -6.87%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 11:11
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -32.48%E -7.15%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -32.93%E -7.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 11:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -32.93%E -7.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 11:09
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -33.07%E -7.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -33.07%E -7.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 11:07
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.98%EV +1.30%E +1.09%K +6.85%G +0.089%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.02%EV -33.52%E -7.50%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:58
BetUS🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.55%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.45%EV -34.12%E -7.70%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 11:12
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 10:59
ReBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV +3.00%E +2.48%K +14.31%G +0.430%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:00
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -34.56%E -7.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:10
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV +0.451%E +0.382%K +2.50%G +0.011%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -36.05%E -8.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:00
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +3.86%E +3.16%K +17.53%G +0.676%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 10:58
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +3.86%E +3.16%K +17.53%G +0.676%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:07
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -37.54%E -8.94%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 10:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.72%EV +1.30%E +1.09%K +6.85%G +0.089%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -38.28%E -9.22%K -12.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -40.51%E -10.13%K -13.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 11:01
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV +2.15%E +1.79%K +10.77%G +0.232%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -40.51%E -10.13%K -13.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 11:01
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-07 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-07 11:15
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.1%2026-05-07 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-05-07 11:15
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 88.42%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.58%2.8%2026-05-07 11:15
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 87.74%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.26%3.6%2026-05-07 11:15