Language:English
Elina Svitolina v Nikola Bartunkova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prediction 86.26%1.16fair odd
EV +0.062%
Edge +0.053%
Kelly +0.386%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.03%86.15%86.63%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.101.101.1696.15%90.79%90.91%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)
Prediction 13.74%7.28fair odd
EV +23.66%
Edge +2.63%
Kelly +2.96%
Growth +0.700%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%13.85%13.37%17.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.516.279.0019.05%15.37%15.96%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 86.26%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 13.74%. For Nikola Bartunkova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.28. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -8.56%E -8.08%K -142.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +23.66%E +2.63%K +2.96%G +0.700% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -10.29%E -9.89%K -257.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +16.79%E +1.98%K +2.24%G +0.376% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.92%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.43%E -8.98%K -188.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.92%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -9.43%E -8.98%K -188.54%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV +5.80%E +0.753%K +0.865%G +0.050% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.70%E -7.20%K -110.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +1.68%E +0.226%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.56%E -8.08%K -142.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 13:48 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -12.06%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV +0.062%E +0.053%K +0.386%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 13:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.64%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.36%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-11 13:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.64%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.36%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-11 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.70%E -7.20%K -110.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.19%E -2.65%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.19%E -2.65%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -16.87%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 13:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -16.87%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 13:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.04%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.96%EV -18.25%E -3.07%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -20.31%E -3.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.00%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -21.00%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 13:47 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.59%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -0.801%E -0.696%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 13:43 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.53% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.47% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09% | 10.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |