La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Elina Svitolina v Nikola Bartunkova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Predicción 86.26%1.16momio equitativo
EV +0.062%
Ventaja +0.053%
Kelly +0.386%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.03%86.15%86.63%89.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.101.101.1696.15%90.79%90.91%86.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)
Predicción 13.74%7.28momio equitativo
EV +23.66%
Ventaja +2.63%
Kelly +2.96%
Crecimiento +0.700%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.54%13.85%13.37%17.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.256.516.279.0019.05%15.37%15.96%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -8.56%E -8.08%K -142.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +23.66%E +2.63%K +2.96%G +0.700% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -10.29%E -9.89%K -257.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +16.79%E +1.98%K +2.24%G +0.376% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Betway | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.92%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.43%E -8.98%K -188.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.92%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Fliff | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -9.43%E -8.98%K -188.54%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV +5.80%E +0.753%K +0.865%G +0.050% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.70%E -7.20%K -110.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +1.68%E +0.226%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Caesars | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| TAB | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.56%E -8.08%K -142.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 13:48 |
| Casumo | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Unibet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| betPARX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Coral | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -12.06%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV +0.062%E +0.053%K +0.386%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 13:43 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.64%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.36%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-11 13:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.64%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.36%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-11 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.70%E -7.20%K -110.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.19%E -2.65%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.19%E -2.65%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -16.87%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 13:38 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -16.87%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 13:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.04%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.96%EV -18.25%E -3.07%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -20.31%E -3.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.00%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -21.00%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
| William Hill | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 13:47 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.59%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -0.801%E -0.696%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 13:43 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 13:40 |
| Neds | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 13:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |
| Novig | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.53% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.47% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09% | 10.9% | 2026-05-11 13:49 |