La scuola delle quote

Elina Svitolina v Nikola Bartunkova

Inizio: 2026-05-11 13:52 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Casa)

Previsione 86.26%1.16quota equa
EV +0.062%
Vantaggio +0.053%
Kelly +0.386%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.03%86.15%86.63%89.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.041.101.101.1696.15%90.79%90.91%86.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nikola Bartunkova (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.74%7.28quota equa
EV +23.66%
Vantaggio +2.63%
Kelly +2.96%
Crescita +0.700%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.54%13.85%13.37%17.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.256.516.279.0019.05%15.37%15.96%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -8.56%E -8.08%K -142.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +23.66%E +2.63%K +2.96%G +0.700%5.5%2026-05-11 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -10.29%E -9.89%K -257.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +16.79%E +1.98%K +2.24%G +0.376%7.9%2026-05-11 13:49
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.92%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141%5.1%2026-05-11 13:49
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.43%E -8.98%K -188.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.92%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141%7.7%2026-05-11 13:50
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -9.43%E -8.98%K -188.54%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV +5.80%E +0.753%K +0.865%G +0.050%8.2%2026-05-11 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.1%2026-05-11 13:49
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.1%2026-05-11 13:50
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.9%2026-05-11 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.70%E -7.20%K -110.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%6.8%2026-05-11 13:49
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +1.68%E +0.226%K +0.262%G +0.004%4.4%2026-05-11 13:49
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:50
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.56%E -8.08%K -142.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 13:48
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 13:49
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 13:50
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 13:50
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -12.06%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 13:49
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV +0.062%E +0.053%K +0.386%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 13:43
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.64%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.36%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 13:44
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.64%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.36%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 13:44
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:50
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:50
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:50
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.70%E -7.20%K -110.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.19%E -2.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 13:49
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.19%E -2.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 13:49
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -16.87%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 13:38
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -16.87%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 13:44
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 13:50
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 13:50
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.04%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.96%EV -18.25%E -3.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:39
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -20.31%E -3.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 13:50
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.00%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 13:39
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -21.00%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 13:39
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 13:40
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:47
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:50
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.59%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 13:50
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -0.801%E -0.696%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 13:43
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:40
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-05-11 13:49
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-05-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-11 13:49
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 88.53%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.47%5.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%10.9%2026-05-11 13:49