StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elina Svitolina v Nikola Bartunkova

Matchstart: 2026-05-11 13:52 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elina Svitolina (Hemma)

Prognos 86.26%1.16rättvist odds
EV +0.062%
Fördel +0.053%
Kelly +0.386%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.03%86.15%86.63%89.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.041.101.101.1696.15%90.79%90.91%86.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Borta)

Prognos 13.74%7.28rättvist odds
EV +23.66%
Fördel +2.63%
Kelly +2.96%
Tillväxt +0.700%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.54%13.85%13.37%17.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.256.516.279.0019.05%15.37%15.96%11.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Elina Svitolina (Hemma): 86.26%; Nikola Bartunkova (Borta): 13.74%. För Nikola Bartunkova (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.28. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 9.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +23.66%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -8.56%E -8.08%K -142.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +23.66%E +2.63%K +2.96%G +0.700%5.5%2026-05-11 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -10.29%E -9.89%K -257.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +16.79%E +1.98%K +2.24%G +0.376%7.9%2026-05-11 13:49
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.92%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141%5.1%2026-05-11 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.43%E -8.98%K -188.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.92%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141%7.7%2026-05-11 13:50
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -9.43%E -8.98%K -188.54%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV +5.80%E +0.753%K +0.865%G +0.050%8.2%2026-05-11 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.1%2026-05-11 13:49
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.1%2026-05-11 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.9%2026-05-11 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.70%E -7.20%K -110.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%6.8%2026-05-11 13:49
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +1.68%E +0.226%K +0.262%G +0.004%4.4%2026-05-11 13:49
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.56%E -8.08%K -142.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 13:48
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -12.06%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV +0.062%E +0.053%K +0.386%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 13:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.64%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.36%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.64%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.36%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.70%E -7.20%K -110.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.19%E -2.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.19%E -2.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 13:49
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -16.87%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 13:38
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -16.87%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 13:44
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 13:50
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.04%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.96%EV -18.25%E -3.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:39
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -20.31%E -3.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 13:50
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.00%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -21.00%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 13:39
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 13:40
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:47
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.59%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -0.801%E -0.696%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 13:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:40
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-05-11 13:49
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-05-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-11 13:49
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 88.53%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.47%5.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%10.9%2026-05-11 13:49