L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Nikola Bartunkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 13:52 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 86.26%1.16cote équitable
EV +0.062%
Avantage +0.053%
Kelly +0.386%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.03%86.15%86.63%89.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.041.101.101.1696.15%90.79%90.91%86.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.74%7.28cote équitable
EV +23.66%
Avantage +2.63%
Kelly +2.96%
Croissance +0.700%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.54%13.85%13.37%17.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.256.516.279.0019.05%15.37%15.96%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -8.56%E -8.08%K -142.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +23.66%E +2.63%K +2.96%G +0.700%5.5%2026-05-11 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -10.29%E -9.89%K -257.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +16.79%E +1.98%K +2.24%G +0.376%7.9%2026-05-11 13:49
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.92%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141%5.1%2026-05-11 13:49
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.43%E -8.98%K -188.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.92%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141%7.7%2026-05-11 13:50
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -9.43%E -8.98%K -188.54%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV +5.80%E +0.753%K +0.865%G +0.050%8.2%2026-05-11 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.1%2026-05-11 13:49
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.1%2026-05-11 13:50
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.9%2026-05-11 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.70%E -7.20%K -110.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.469%G +0.014%6.8%2026-05-11 13:49
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +1.68%E +0.226%K +0.262%G +0.004%4.4%2026-05-11 13:49
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:50
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.56%E -8.08%K -142.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.82%E -0.546%K -0.637%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 13:48
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.26%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 13:49
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 13:50
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 13:50
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -12.06%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 13:49
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV +0.062%E +0.053%K +0.386%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 13:43
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.64%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.36%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 13:44
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.64%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.36%EV -13.71%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 13:44
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:50
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:50
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:50
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.98%E -5.48%K -66.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 13:49
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.70%E -7.20%K -110.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -14.13%E -2.26%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.19%E -2.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 13:49
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.19%E -2.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 13:49
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -16.87%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 13:38
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -16.87%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 13:44
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 13:50
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 13:50
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.11%E -4.65%K -51.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.04%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.96%EV -18.25%E -3.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 13:39
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.25%E -3.83%K -38.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -20.31%E -3.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 13:50
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.00%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 13:39
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -21.00%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 13:39
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.66%E -1.46%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 13:40
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:47
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.39%E -3.03%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:50
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.59%EV -6.84%E -6.33%K -85.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -24.43%E -4.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 13:50
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -0.801%E -0.696%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 13:43
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:40
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.53%E -2.24%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -27.87%E -5.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-05-11 13:49
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-05-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-11 13:49
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 88.53%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.47%5.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%10.9%2026-05-11 13:49