Language:English
Caty McNally v Daria Kasatkina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Caty McNally (Local)
Prediction 47.68%2.10fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.83%47.54%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.45%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daria Kasatkina (Visit)
Prediction 52.32%1.91fair odd
EV -0.075%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.083%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.17%52.46%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.22%55.25%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Caty McNally (Local): 47.68%; Daria Kasatkina (Visit): 52.32%. For Daria Kasatkina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.911. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.910, with an expected value of -0.075%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -1.64%E -0.875%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.075%E -0.039%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.97%E -5.15%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 18:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.79% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.21% | 10.7% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |