L’École des cotes

Caty McNally v Daria Kasatkina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Caty McNally (Local)

Prévision 47.68%2.10cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%47.83%47.54%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.45%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daria Kasatkina (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.32%1.91cote équitable
EV -0.075%
Avantage -0.039%
Kelly -0.083%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.17%52.46%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.22%55.25%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:10
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:10
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:11
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -1.64%E -0.875%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 18:11
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 18:15
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:00
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:59
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 18:10
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:19
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:09
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:09
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:20
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:10
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:11
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 17:59
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:20
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:19
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:10
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:11
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:11
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:10
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:10
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:20
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:18
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:01
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:11
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:10
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 18:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.075%E -0.039%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:10
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 18:09
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.97%E -5.15%K -12.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-06 18:20
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%4.1%2026-05-06 18:21
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 47.79%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.21%10.7%2026-05-06 18:20