Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Caty McNally v Daria Kasatkina

Início: 2026-05-06 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Caty McNally (Local)

Previsão 47.68%2.10odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -2.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.75%47.83%47.54%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.45%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Daria Kasatkina (Visitante)

Previsão 52.32%1.91odd justa
EV -0.075%
Vantagem -0.039%
Kelly -0.083%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.17%52.46%53.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.22%55.25%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Caty McNally (Local): 47.68%; Daria Kasatkina (Visitante): 52.32%. Para Daria Kasatkina (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.911. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.910, com valor esperado de -0.075%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:10
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:11
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -1.64%E -0.875%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 18:11
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:00
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:59
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:09
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:09
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:20
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:10
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:11
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 17:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 17:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:10
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:10
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:11
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:11
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:10
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:20
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:18
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:01
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:11
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:10
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.075%E -0.039%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 18:09
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.97%E -5.15%K -12.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-06 18:20
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%4.1%2026-05-06 18:21
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 47.79%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.21%10.7%2026-05-06 18:20