La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Caty McNally v Daria Kasatkina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Caty McNally (Local)
Predicción 47.68%2.10momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%47.83%47.54%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.45%50.00%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daria Kasatkina (Visitante)
Predicción 52.32%1.91momio equitativo
EV -0.075%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.17%52.46%53.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.22%55.25%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -1.64%E -0.875%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| ReBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:18 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:01 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.075%E -0.039%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.97%E -5.15%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |
| Novig | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 18:21 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.79% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.21% | 10.7% | 2026-05-06 18:20 |