La scuola delle quote

Caty McNally v Daria Kasatkina

Inizio: 2026-05-06 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Caty McNally (Casa)

Previsione 47.68%2.10quota equa
EV -2.25%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -2.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.75%47.83%47.54%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.45%50.00%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daria Kasatkina (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.32%1.91quota equa
EV -0.075%
Vantaggio -0.039%
Kelly -0.083%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%52.17%52.46%53.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.22%55.25%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:10
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:10
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:11
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -1.64%E -0.875%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 18:11
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 18:15
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:00
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:59
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 18:10
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:19
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:20
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:09
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:09
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:20
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:10
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:11
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 17:59
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:20
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:19
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:10
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:11
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:11
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:10
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:10
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:20
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:18
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:01
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:11
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:10
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 18:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.075%E -0.039%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:10
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 18:09
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.97%E -5.15%K -12.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-06 18:20
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%4.1%2026-05-06 18:21
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 47.79%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.21%10.7%2026-05-06 18:20