StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Sorana Cirstea

Matchstart: 2026-05-09 14:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 84.01%1.19rättvist odds
EV -3.39%
Fördel -2.95%
Kelly -22.60%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
81.43%83.88%84.04%86.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.59%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sorana Cirstea (Borta)

Prognos 15.99%6.25rättvist odds
EV +11.94%
Fördel +1.71%
Kelly +1.99%
Tillväxt +0.238%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.58%16.12%15.96%18.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.005.905.807.0020.00%16.95%17.24%14.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 84.01%; Sorana Cirstea (Borta): 15.99%. För Sorana Cirstea (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.25. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.94%.

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058%4.4%2026-05-09 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058%4.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028%3.1%2026-05-09 13:34
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028%7.1%2026-05-09 13:34
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.85%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.60%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 15.15%EV +2.99%E +0.464%K +0.549%G +0.016%2.5%2026-05-09 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV +1.55%E +0.244%K +0.289%G +0.004%5.0%2026-05-09 13:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.052%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.37%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.45%E -0.402%K -0.481%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:33
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.25%E -0.537%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:35
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.45%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 13:54
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.67%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.33%EV -6.61%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -8.85%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:35
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:34
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:35
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:35
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:58
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83%3.9%2026-05-09 14:00