La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Aryna Sabalenka v Sorana Cirstea
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)
Previsione 84.01%1.19quota equa
EV -3.39%
Vantaggio -2.95%
Kelly -22.60%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.43%83.88%84.04%86.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.59%88.50%86.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sorana Cirstea (Trasferta)
Previsione 15.99%6.25quota equa
EV +11.94%
Vantaggio +1.71%
Kelly +1.99%
Crescita +0.238%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.58%16.12%15.96%18.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.905.807.0020.00%16.95%17.24%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| William Hill | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| TAB | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.85%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 15.15%EV +2.99%E +0.464%K +0.549%G +0.016% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV +1.55%E +0.244%K +0.289%G +0.004% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.052%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.37%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.45%E -0.402%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.25%E -0.537%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Betsson | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| ReBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.45%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.67%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.33%EV -6.61%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Casumo | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| betPARX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -8.85%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Coral | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Neds | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |