L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Sorana Cirstea
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 84.01%1.19cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -2.95%
Kelly -22.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.43%83.88%84.04%86.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.59%88.50%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.99%6.25cote équitable
EV +11.94%
Avantage +1.71%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.238%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.58%16.12%15.96%18.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.905.807.0020.00%16.95%17.24%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| William Hill | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| TAB | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.85%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 15.15%EV +2.99%E +0.464%K +0.549%G +0.016% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV +1.55%E +0.244%K +0.289%G +0.004% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.052%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.37%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.45%E -0.402%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.25%E -0.537%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Betsson | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| ReBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.45%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.67%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.33%EV -6.61%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Casumo | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| betPARX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -8.85%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Coral | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Neds | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |