Szkoła Kursów

Aryna Sabalenka v Sorana Cirstea

Początek: 2026-05-09 14:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

59 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 84.01%1.19kurs godziwy
EV -3.39%
Przewaga -2.95%
Kelly -22.60%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.15

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
81.43%83.88%84.04%86.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.59%88.50%86.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sorana Cirstea (Goście)

Prognoza 15.99%6.25kurs godziwy
EV +11.94%
Przewaga +1.71%
Kelly +1.99%
Wzrost +0.238%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.58%16.12%15.96%18.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.905.807.0020.00%16.95%17.24%14.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:35
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058%4.4%2026-05-09 13:34
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058%4.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028%3.1%2026-05-09 13:34
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028%7.1%2026-05-09 13:34
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.85%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.60%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 15.15%EV +2.99%E +0.464%K +0.549%G +0.016%2.5%2026-05-09 13:35
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV +1.55%E +0.244%K +0.289%G +0.004%5.0%2026-05-09 13:53
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.052%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 13:34
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.37%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.45%E -0.402%K -0.481%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:33
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.25%E -0.537%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
ReBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:35
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 13:34
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.45%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 13:54
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.67%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.33%EV -6.61%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:35
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:00
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:34
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -8.85%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:54
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:59
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:35
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:35
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:35
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:34
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:35
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:35
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:58
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83%3.9%2026-05-09 14:00