La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Sorana Cirstea
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 84.01%1.19momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -2.95%
Kelly -22.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.43%83.88%84.04%86.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.59%88.50%86.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)
Predicción 15.99%6.25momio equitativo
EV +11.94%
Ventaja +1.71%
Kelly +1.99%
Crecimiento +0.238%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.58%16.12%15.96%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.905.807.0020.00%16.95%17.24%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| William Hill | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| TAB | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.85%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 15.15%EV +2.99%E +0.464%K +0.549%G +0.016% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV +1.55%E +0.244%K +0.289%G +0.004% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.052%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.37%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.45%E -0.402%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.25%E -0.537%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Betsson | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| ReBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.45%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.67%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.33%EV -6.61%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Casumo | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| betPARX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -8.85%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Coral | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Neds | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |