Школа коэффициентов

Aryna Sabalenka v Sorana Cirstea

Начало: 2026-05-09 14:05 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева)

Прогноз 84.01%1.19справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.39%
Преимущество -2.95%
Kelly -22.60%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
81.43%83.88%84.04%86.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.59%88.50%86.96%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sorana Cirstea (Гости)

Прогноз 15.99%6.25справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.94%
Преимущество +1.71%
Kelly +1.99%
Рост +0.238%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.58%16.12%15.96%18.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.905.807.0020.00%16.95%17.24%14.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:35
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +11.94%E +1.71%K +1.99%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058%4.4%2026-05-09 13:34
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.70%E +0.863%K +1.02%G +0.058%4.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028%3.1%2026-05-09 13:34
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +3.95%E +0.607%K +0.717%G +0.028%7.1%2026-05-09 13:34
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.85%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.60%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 15.15%EV +2.99%E +0.464%K +0.549%G +0.016%2.5%2026-05-09 13:35
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV +1.55%E +0.244%K +0.289%G +0.004%5.0%2026-05-09 13:53
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.052%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 13:34
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.37%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.45%E -0.402%K -0.481%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:33
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.25%E -0.537%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
ReBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:35
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.43%E -7.73%K -93.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.05%E -0.675%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.65%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 13:34
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.45%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 13:54
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.67%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.33%EV -6.61%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.25%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:35
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:00
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.05%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:34
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -8.85%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:54
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:59
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:35
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:35
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:35
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:34
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.05%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.65%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:35
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.07%E -4.49%K -39.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -16.04%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:35
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.91%E -5.28%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:58
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.83%3.9%2026-05-09 14:00