Szkoła Kursów

Francesca Jones v Kayla Day

Początek: 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Francesca Jones (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 48.56%2.06kurs godziwy
EV +18.49%
Przewaga +7.58%
Kelly +12.84%
Wzrost +2.37%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.44

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.75%47.93%50.00%54.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.702.011.922.4458.82%49.64%52.08%40.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kayla Day (Goście)

Prognoza 51.44%1.94kurs godziwy
EV +5.45%
Przewaga +2.66%
Kelly +5.19%
Wzrost +0.283%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.48%52.07%50.00%60.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.581.791.852.0563.29%55.94%54.05%48.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +18.49%E +7.58%K +12.84%G +2.37%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 21:10
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +16.54%E +6.89%K +11.82%G +1.95%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +16.54%E +6.89%K +11.82%G +1.95%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 21:18
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +14.12%E +6.01%K +10.46%G +1.48%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -18.72%E -11.85%K -32.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:10
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +13.63%E +5.82%K +10.17%G +1.39%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +13.14%E +5.64%K +9.88%G +1.30%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:04
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +12.66%E +5.46%K +9.59%G +1.21%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 20:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -18.21%E -11.45%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:12
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV +11.20%E +4.89%K +8.68%G +0.973%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -16.15%E -9.91%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:10
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +10.72%E +4.70%K +8.37%G +0.897%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -16.15%E -9.91%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 20:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +9.26%E +4.12%K +7.41%G +0.686%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 21:15
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -15.12%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:06
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -15.12%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:07
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:10
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +4.40%E +2.05%K +3.83%G +0.169%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.941%K +1.80%G +0.035%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.98%E +0.941%K +1.80%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -14.09%E -8.44%K -21.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:18
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.916%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.26%E -1.19%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:19
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 21:20
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.07%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.26%E -1.19%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.71%E -4.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.71%E -4.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -9.68%E -5.20%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.309%E +0.158%K +0.325%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -6.38%E -3.50%K -7.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.14%E -6.09%K -13.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.75%E -0.916%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:19
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.68%EV -12.11%E -6.69%K -14.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.32%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -13.56%E -7.62%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283%5.0%2026-03-05 21:20
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -15.99%E -9.24%K -21.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283%6.6%2026-03-05 21:20
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283%7.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -17.45%E -10.26%K -24.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -0.206%E -0.106%K -0.219%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-05 21:20
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%6.0%2026-03-05 21:20