La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francesca Jones v Kayla Day
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francesca Jones (Local)
Predicción 48.56%2.06momio equitativo
EV +18.49%
Ventaja +7.58%
Kelly +12.84%
Crecimiento +2.37%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%47.93%50.00%54.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.702.011.922.4458.82%49.64%52.08%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kayla Day (Visitante)
Predicción 51.44%1.94momio equitativo
EV +5.45%
Ventaja +2.66%
Kelly +5.19%
Crecimiento +0.283%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.48%52.07%50.00%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.791.852.0563.29%55.94%54.05%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +18.49%E +7.58%K +12.84%G +2.37% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +16.54%E +6.89%K +11.82%G +1.95% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +16.54%E +6.89%K +11.82%G +1.95% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 21:18 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +14.12%E +6.01%K +10.46%G +1.48% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -18.72%E -11.85%K -32.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +13.63%E +5.82%K +10.17%G +1.39% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +13.14%E +5.64%K +9.88%G +1.30% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +12.66%E +5.46%K +9.59%G +1.21% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -18.21%E -11.45%K -30.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:12 |
| GTbets | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV +11.20%E +4.89%K +8.68%G +0.973% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -16.15%E -9.91%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +10.72%E +4.70%K +8.37%G +0.897% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -16.15%E -9.91%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +9.26%E +4.12%K +7.41%G +0.686% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -15.12%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 21:06 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -15.12%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 21:07 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +4.40%E +2.05%K +3.83%G +0.169% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.941%K +1.80%G +0.035% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.98%E +0.941%K +1.80%G +0.035% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -14.09%E -8.44%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:18 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.916%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.26%E -1.19%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betway | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.07%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.26%E -1.19%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.71%E -4.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.71%E -4.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -9.68%E -5.20%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.309%E +0.158%K +0.325%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -6.38%E -3.50%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.14%E -6.09%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.75%E -0.916%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.68%EV -12.11%E -6.69%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.32%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -13.56%E -7.62%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -15.99%E -9.24%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -17.45%E -10.26%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -0.206%E -0.106%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Novig | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |