La scuola delle quote

Francesca Jones v Kayla Day

Inizio: 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Francesca Jones (Casa)

Previsione 48.56%2.06quota equa
EV +18.49%
Vantaggio +7.58%
Kelly +12.84%
Crescita +2.37%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%47.93%50.00%54.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.702.011.922.4458.82%49.64%52.08%40.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kayla Day (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.44%1.94quota equa
EV +5.45%
Vantaggio +2.66%
Kelly +5.19%
Crescita +0.283%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.48%52.07%50.00%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.791.852.0563.29%55.94%54.05%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +18.49%E +7.58%K +12.84%G +2.37%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 21:10
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +16.54%E +6.89%K +11.82%G +1.95%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +16.54%E +6.89%K +11.82%G +1.95%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 21:18
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +14.12%E +6.01%K +10.46%G +1.48%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -18.72%E -11.85%K -32.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:10
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +13.63%E +5.82%K +10.17%G +1.39%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +13.14%E +5.64%K +9.88%G +1.30%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:04
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +12.66%E +5.46%K +9.59%G +1.21%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 20:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -18.21%E -11.45%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:12
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV +11.20%E +4.89%K +8.68%G +0.973%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -16.15%E -9.91%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:10
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +10.72%E +4.70%K +8.37%G +0.897%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -16.15%E -9.91%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 20:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +9.26%E +4.12%K +7.41%G +0.686%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 21:15
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -15.12%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:06
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -15.12%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:07
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:10
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +4.40%E +2.05%K +3.83%G +0.169%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.941%K +1.80%G +0.035%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.98%E +0.941%K +1.80%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -14.09%E -8.44%K -21.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:18
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.916%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.26%E -1.19%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:19
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 21:20
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.07%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.26%E -1.19%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.71%E -4.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.71%E -4.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -9.68%E -5.20%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.309%E +0.158%K +0.325%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -6.38%E -3.50%K -7.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.14%E -6.09%K -13.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.75%E -0.916%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:19
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.68%EV -12.11%E -6.69%K -14.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.32%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -13.56%E -7.62%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283%5.0%2026-03-05 21:20
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -15.99%E -9.24%K -21.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283%6.6%2026-03-05 21:20
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283%7.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -17.45%E -10.26%K -24.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -0.206%E -0.106%K -0.219%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-05 21:20
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%6.0%2026-03-05 21:20