مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francesca Jones v Kayla Day

البداية: 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francesca Jones (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.56%2.06السعر العادل
EV +18.49%
الأفضلية +7.58%
Kelly +12.84%
النمو +2.37%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.75%47.93%50.00%54.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.702.011.922.4458.82%49.64%52.08%40.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kayla Day (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.44%1.94السعر العادل
EV +5.45%
الأفضلية +2.66%
Kelly +5.19%
النمو +0.283%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.48%52.07%50.00%60.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.581.791.852.0563.29%55.94%54.05%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +18.49%E +7.58%K +12.84%G +2.37%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 21:10
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +16.54%E +6.89%K +11.82%G +1.95%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +16.54%E +6.89%K +11.82%G +1.95%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 21:18
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +14.12%E +6.01%K +10.46%G +1.48%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -18.72%E -11.85%K -32.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:10
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +13.63%E +5.82%K +10.17%G +1.39%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +13.14%E +5.64%K +9.88%G +1.30%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:04
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +12.66%E +5.46%K +9.59%G +1.21%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -17.70%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 20:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +11.69%E +5.08%K +8.99%G +1.05%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -18.21%E -11.45%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:12
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV +11.20%E +4.89%K +8.68%G +0.973%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -16.15%E -9.91%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:10
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +10.72%E +4.70%K +8.37%G +0.897%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -16.15%E -9.91%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 20:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +9.26%E +4.12%K +7.41%G +0.686%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -17.18%E -10.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 21:15
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -15.12%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:06
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -15.12%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:07
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:10
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +6.83%E +3.11%K +5.69%G +0.389%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +4.40%E +2.05%K +3.83%G +0.169%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -16.67%E -10.29%K -26.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.98%E +0.941%K +1.80%G +0.035%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.98%E +0.941%K +1.80%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -14.09%E -8.44%K -21.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.04%E -7.04%K -16.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:18
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.916%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.26%E -1.19%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:19
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 21:20
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.07%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.26%E -1.19%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.22%E -4.35%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.71%E -4.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.71%E -4.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.19%E -4.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -9.68%E -5.20%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.309%E +0.158%K +0.325%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -6.38%E -3.50%K -7.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.14%E -6.09%K -13.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.75%E -0.916%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:19
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.68%EV -12.11%E -6.69%K -14.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.32%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -13.56%E -7.62%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283%5.0%2026-03-05 21:20
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -15.99%E -9.24%K -21.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283%6.6%2026-03-05 21:20
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -16.96%E -9.92%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +5.45%E +2.66%K +5.19%G +0.283%7.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -17.45%E -10.26%K -24.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -0.206%E -0.106%K -0.219%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 21:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-05 21:20
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%6.0%2026-03-05 21:20