Language:English
Tatjana Maria v Taylor Townsend
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tatjana Maria (Local)
Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV +5.27%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.099%
assuming max odds 3.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%27.86%27.70%31.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.313.303.7933.90%30.21%30.30%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Taylor Townsend (Visit)
Prediction 72.23%1.38fair odd
EV +0.393%
Edge +0.283%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.93%72.14%72.30%74.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.321.3980.00%75.71%75.76%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tatjana Maria (Local): 27.77%; Taylor Townsend (Visit): 72.23%. For Tatjana Maria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +5.27%E +1.39%K +1.89%G +0.099% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 21:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +4.16%E +1.11%K +1.51%G +0.063% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 21:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 21:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 19:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 19:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 20:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 21:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 20:37 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 11:11 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 20:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.34%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -9.72%E -7.77%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 20:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -8.90%E -2.71%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV +0.393%E +0.283%K +1.01%G +0.004% | 2.4% | 2026-09-14 11:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 15:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.05%E -0.767%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.05%E -0.767%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -18.06%E -6.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:51 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |