Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tatjana Maria v Taylor Townsend

Inizio: 2026-09-14 21:06 UTC

Finale: Tatjana Maria 1–2 Taylor Townsend

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tatjana Maria (Casa)

Previsione 27.77%3.60quota equa
EV +5.27%
Vantaggio +1.39%
Kelly +1.89%
Crescita +0.099%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.10%27.86%27.70%31.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.313.303.7933.90%30.21%30.30%26.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Taylor Townsend (Trasferta)

Previsione 72.23%1.38quota equa
EV +0.393%
Vantaggio +0.283%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.93%72.14%72.30%74.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.321.321.3980.00%75.71%75.76%71.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tatjana Maria (Casa): 27.77%; Taylor Townsend (Trasferta): 72.23%. Per Tatjana Maria (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.60. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.79, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.27%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +5.27%E +1.39%K +1.89%G +0.099%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:03
Pinnacle🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +4.16%E +1.11%K +1.51%G +0.063%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-14 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 13:15
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 20:35
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 18:15
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 21:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 21:05
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 21:05
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 21:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 19:56
BetOnline.ag🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 19:56
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 20:59
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 20:00
ReBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 21:03
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 16:46
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 20:37
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 20:40
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 11:11
theScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 20:31
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:55
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 20:40
DraftKings🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.34%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 21:05
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 11:10
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 21:05
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 21:05
Fliff🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 21:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -9.72%E -7.77%K -38.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 20:35
GTbets🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -8.90%E -2.71%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV +0.393%E +0.283%K +1.01%G +0.004%2.4%2026-09-14 11:11
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 21:05
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 21:05
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 21:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 16:45
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 16:45
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 21:05
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 21:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 15:51
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.05%E -0.767%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 09:11
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.05%E -0.767%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:11
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:11
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:11
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:11
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -18.06%E -6.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 09:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-14 20:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-14 20:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-14 20:55
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-14 20:51
Novig◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-09-14 20:55
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%1.5%2026-09-14 21:05
ProphetX◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-09-14 21:05