Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tatjana Maria v Taylor Townsend

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 21:06 UTC

Score final : Tatjana Maria 1–2 Taylor Townsend

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tatjana Maria (Local)

Prévision 27.77%3.60cote équitable
EV +5.27%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.099%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.10%27.86%27.70%31.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.313.303.7933.90%30.21%30.30%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Taylor Townsend (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.23%1.38cote équitable
EV +0.393%
Avantage +0.283%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.93%72.14%72.30%74.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.321.3980.00%75.71%75.76%71.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tatjana Maria (Local) : 27.77% ; Taylor Townsend (Visiteur) : 72.23%. Pour Tatjana Maria (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.60. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.79, soit une espérance positive de +5.27%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +5.27%E +1.39%K +1.89%G +0.099%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:03
Pinnacle🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +4.16%E +1.11%K +1.51%G +0.063%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-14 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 13:15
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 20:35
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 18:15
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 21:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 21:05
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 21:05
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 21:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 19:56
BetOnline.ag🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 19:56
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 20:59
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 20:00
ReBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 21:03
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 16:46
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 20:37
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 20:40
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 11:11
theScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 20:31
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:55
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 20:40
DraftKings🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.34%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 21:05
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 11:10
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 21:05
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 21:05
Fliff🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 21:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -9.72%E -7.77%K -38.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 20:35
GTbets🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -8.90%E -2.71%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV +0.393%E +0.283%K +1.01%G +0.004%2.4%2026-09-14 11:11
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 21:05
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 21:05
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 21:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 16:45
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 16:45
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 21:05
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 21:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 15:51
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.05%E -0.767%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 09:11
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.05%E -0.767%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:11
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:11
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:11
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:11
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -18.06%E -6.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-14 20:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-14 20:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-14 20:55
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-14 20:51
Novig◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-09-14 20:55
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%1.5%2026-09-14 21:05
ProphetX◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-09-14 21:05