语言:简体中文
Tatjana Maria v Taylor Townsend
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Tatjana Maria (主队)
预测 27.77%3.60公平赔率
EV +5.27%
优势 +1.39%
Kelly +1.89%
增长率 +0.099%
假设最高赔率为 3.79
博彩公司预测分布
25.10%27.86%27.70%31.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.313.303.7933.90%30.21%30.30%26.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
Taylor Townsend (客队)
预测 72.23%1.38公平赔率
EV +0.393%
优势 +0.283%
Kelly +1.01%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 1.39
博彩公司预测分布
68.93%72.14%72.30%74.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.321.321.3980.00%75.71%75.76%71.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tatjana Maria (主队)：27.77%；Taylor Townsend (客队)：72.23%。 对于“Tatjana Maria (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.60。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.79，对应+5.27%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +5.27%E +1.39%K +1.89%G +0.099% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 21:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +4.16%E +1.11%K +1.51%G +0.063% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 21:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 21:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 19:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 19:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 20:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 21:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 20:37 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 11:11 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 20:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.34%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -9.72%E -7.77%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 20:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -8.90%E -2.71%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV +0.393%E +0.283%K +1.01%G +0.004% | 2.4% | 2026-09-14 11:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 15:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.05%E -0.767%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.05%E -0.767%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -18.06%E -6.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:51 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |