Idioma:Español
Tatjana Maria v Taylor Townsend
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tatjana Maria (Local)
Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV +5.27%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +1.89%
Crecimiento +0.099%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.10%27.86%27.70%31.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.313.303.7933.90%30.21%30.30%26.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Taylor Townsend (Visitante)
Predicción 72.23%1.38momio equitativo
EV +0.393%
Ventaja +0.283%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.93%72.14%72.30%74.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.321.3980.00%75.71%75.76%71.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tatjana Maria (Local): 27.77%; Taylor Townsend (Visitante): 72.23%. Para Tatjana Maria (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.60. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.79, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +5.27%E +1.39%K +1.89%G +0.099% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 21:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +4.16%E +1.11%K +1.51%G +0.063% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 21:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 21:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 19:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 19:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 20:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 21:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 20:37 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 11:11 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 20:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.34%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -9.72%E -7.77%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 20:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -8.90%E -2.71%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV +0.393%E +0.283%K +1.01%G +0.004% | 2.4% | 2026-09-14 11:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 15:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.05%E -0.767%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -1.05%E -0.767%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.77%E -1.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -18.06%E -6.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 09:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 20:51 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 21:05 |