Language:English
Elvina Kalieva v Kayla Day
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elvina Kalieva (Local)
Prediction 40.22%2.49fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.694%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 2.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.68%40.34%40.10%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.352.372.5345.87%42.55%42.19%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kayla Day (Visit)
Prediction 59.78%1.67fair odd
EV -0.168%
Edge -0.100%
Kelly -0.250%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%59.66%59.90%62.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6766.67%63.50%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elvina Kalieva (Local): 40.22%; Kayla Day (Visit): 59.78%. For Elvina Kalieva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV +1.76%E +0.694%K +1.15%G +0.020% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.46%E -0.596%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-14 17:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-14 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 17:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 15:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 17:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.73%E -6.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.168%E -0.100%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.168%E -0.100%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 18:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 18:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -8.70%E -3.83%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 18:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -12.32%E -5.65%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 18:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |