Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elvina Kalieva v Kayla Day

Início: 2026-09-14 18:10 UTC

Final: Elvina Kalieva 0–2 Kayla Day

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elvina Kalieva (Local)

Previsão 40.22%2.49odd justa
EV +1.76%
Vantagem +0.694%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.68%40.34%40.10%42.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.182.352.372.5345.87%42.55%42.19%39.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kayla Day (Visitante)

Previsão 59.78%1.67odd justa
EV -0.168%
Vantagem -0.100%
Kelly -0.250%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.93%59.66%59.90%62.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.571.571.6766.67%63.50%63.69%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elvina Kalieva (Local): 40.22%; Kayla Day (Visitante): 59.78%. Para Elvina Kalieva (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.49. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.53, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.76%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV +1.76%E +0.694%K +1.15%G +0.020%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.46%E -0.596%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 17:20
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 17:01
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 17:25
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 15:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:56
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 17:59
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 17:50
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 18:00
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 17:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.73%E -6.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.168%E -0.100%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 18:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.168%E -0.100%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 18:06
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 16:40
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 14:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 14:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:06
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 17:50
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 18:03
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -8.70%E -3.83%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 14:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 14:55
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 18:08
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -12.32%E -5.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 18:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-14 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06