Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Elvina Kalieva v Kayla Day

Początek: 2026-09-14 18:10 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Elvina Kalieva 0–2 Kayla Day

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Elvina Kalieva (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 40.22%2.49kurs godziwy
EV +1.76%
Przewaga +0.694%
Kelly +1.15%
Wzrost +0.020%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.68%40.34%40.10%42.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.182.352.372.5345.87%42.55%42.19%39.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kayla Day (Goście)

Prognoza 59.78%1.67kurs godziwy
EV -0.168%
Przewaga -0.100%
Kelly -0.250%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
57.93%59.66%59.90%62.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.571.571.6766.67%63.50%63.69%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Elvina Kalieva (Gospodarze): 40.22%; Kayla Day (Goście): 59.78%. Dla wyniku Elvina Kalieva (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.49. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.53, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.76%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV +1.76%E +0.694%K +1.15%G +0.020%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.46%E -0.596%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 17:20
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 17:01
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 17:25
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 15:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:56
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 17:59
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 17:50
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 18:00
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 17:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 17:55
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.73%E -6.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.168%E -0.100%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 18:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.168%E -0.100%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 18:06
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 16:40
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 14:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 14:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:06
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 17:50
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 18:03
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -8.70%E -3.83%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 14:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 14:55
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 18:08
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -12.32%E -5.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 18:08
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-14 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-14 18:06